Yes. I was completely and utterly wrong. I have to admit it. I drank the Kool-Aid and thought Garza would not only be the missing piece to a World Series team but also the long-term answer alongside Yu Darvish in the rotation. Now I feel he is neither. I should have listened to Eric Reining over at Nolan Writin. He was never a believer. In fact, if you haven’t checked out his I told you so piece about Matt Garza you should. Check it out here – Matt Garza is Overrated as we Expected. It’s a smartly written and educational article that’s worth a read (even if it’s a little painful to hear).
It’s not over yet – I know. But the fat lady has been doing vocal exercises backstage and it’s nearly showtime. It’s strange but Matt Garza hasn’t even really been the problem. He hasn’t pitched great but the Rangers are losing primarily because of their non-existent offense.
Regardless of the reason, the trade so far has been a catastrophic failure. To make it worthwhile the Rangers would need to make a deep playoff run and/or resign Garza to a contract in the offseason.
Neither of those are very likely.
We all know the status of the Rangers right now and we know every game has been pushing them further from the playoffs rather than pulling them closer. And we can only speculate what the free agent market for Garza will be in a few months. It’s safe to say the market will be as delusional as I was when the Rangers first acquired the big named pitcher. People will pay big money for his big name. The Rangers would be wise to make a modest offer and then politely walk away from him as he accepts something twice the size.
Precisely how bad this trade really is depends on the potential success of the prospects traded away for the Matt Garza rental. CJ Edwards has great value and potential. He was a tough player to lose. For whatever reason I’ve never been a huge fan of Justin Grimm but he also holds value and potential in the league. Mike Olt was the final key to the trade. He holds the kind of BOOM potential fans salivate over. He may flame out but he may also be Chris Davis 2.0 (Ok, that may be extreme but you get the point).
We now know this was a poor trade. We just won’t know exactly how poor of a trade this was until we see what could have been. Hindsight isn’t fair but that’s the way baseball go.
Do you have questions or comments regarding Dallas area sports? Email Reid at [email protected]. You may be included in the next weekly mailbag. Follow Reid on twitter @ReidDHanson