Did Andrew “LUCK” In To A Good Situation? Thoughts for Dallas Cowboys Fans.

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As you all know, I usually cover the Dallas Cowboys. Well, I decided to stray from that a bit. Why, you ask? Because I wanted to point out a few things to the ignorant fans in the Cowboys Nation. I firmly believe that Andrew “LUCKED” in to a good situation.

Dec 16, 2012; Arlington, TX, USA; Dallas Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo (9) throws a pass over Pittsburgh Steelers defensive end Brett Keisel (99) during the second half at Cowboys Stadium. The Cowboys won 27-24 in overtime. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

It never ceases to amaze me how fans are constantly blaming all of the Dallas Cowboys woes on QB Tony Romo. All I keep hearing is, “cut Romo”, “trade Romo”, and “most Super Bowls are won with a 1st round quarterback”. Yada yada yada. Some people mistakenly think that all it takes to win in the NFL is a quarterback drafted in the 1st round. Every year in the draft, the media has their poster boy. Yep, that one guy who every time you turn on the TV, you’re hearing his name as if he is the next coming of Roger Staubach, (who was drafted in the 10th round I might add), the Next Joe Montana, (3rd round) or even Tom Brady (6th round). What do all of these guys have in common? They all attended and won multiple Super Bowls. Before I continue, I want to include a little excerpt from an article I wrote prior to the 2012 draft titled:

Who Should The Future Be Behind Tony Romo At QB? (I also included the 2011 and 2012 QB’s Cam Newton and Andrew Luck).

Let’s start with 2003, the year the Dallas Cowboys acquired Tony Romo as an undrafted free agent. In the 2003 NFL Draft, four quarterbacks were selected in the 1st round. Carson Palmer was drafted 1st overall; in 106 career starts, he has completed 2,223 of 3,545 passes (62.7%) for 25,447 yards, 167 TD’s and 116 INT’s. Palmer’s career passer rating is 86.3. He has never won a Super Bowl. The 7th overall pick was Brian Leftwich. Between 3 different NFL teams, he has only 49 starts; he has completed 905 of 1,552 passes (58.3%) for 10,260 yards, 58 TD’s and 41 INT’s. Leftwich’s career passer rating is 79.7. He has never won the big one either. The 19th overall pick in the 2003 draft was Kyle Boller who is too irrelevant to bother detailing his statistics. Drafted 22nd overall was Rex Grossman, and we all know how that worked out. The point is, based on what happened in the 2003 NFL draft, the so called experts were 0-4 on the 1st round QB’s, especially if you compare those four QB’s to what Tony Romo has accomplished!

Let’s look at some later NFL drafts. For sake of time and space, I will only show the QB’s taken in the top 5 of the draft.

  • 2004: Eli Manning 1st overall. In 119 career starts, he has completed 2,291 of 3,921 passes (58.4%) for 27,579 yards, 185 TD’s and 129 INT’s. Manning has a career passer rating of 82.1. He has 2 Super Bowl rings.
  • 2005: 1st overall, Alex Smith. In only 66 starts through 7 NFL seasons, he has completed 1,137 of 1,959 passes (58%) for 12,543 yards, 68 TD’s and 58 INT’s. Smith’s career passer rating is 76.4. He has no Super Bowl rings. Smith was recently benched and replaced with the rookie Colin Kaepernick who has completed 104 of 159 passes (65.4%) for 1,324 yards, 7 TD’s, 2 interceptions, and a passer rating of 100.7.  Kaepernick was drafted in the 2nd round.
  • 2006: 3rd overall Vince Young. In 50 starts, he has completed 755 of 1,354 passes (57.9%) for 46 TD’s, 51 INT’s, and a career passer rating of 74.4. He hasn’t won a Super Bowl.
  • 2007: 1st overall, JaMarcus Russell. In a short 3 year career, he only started 25 games. He completed 354 of 680 passes (52.1%) for 4,083 yards, 18 TD’s, 23 INT’s. His career passer rating is 65.2, and he never came close to a Super Bowl.
  • 2008: 3rd overall Matt Ryan. In 62 starts, he has completed 1,232 of 2,022 passes (60.9%) for 14,238 yards, 95 TD’s and 46 INT’s. His career passer rating is 88.4, and he doesn’t have a Super Bowl ring either.
  • 2009: 1st overall Matthew Stafford. In 29 starts, he has completed 679 of 1,136 passes (59.8%) for 7,840 yards, 60 TD’s and 37 INT’s. His career passer rating is 84.7;  he hasn’t even sniffed a Super Bowl.
  • 2010: 1st overall Sam Bradford. In 26 starts, he has completed 545 of 947 passes (57.6%) for 5,676 yards, 24 TD’s and 21 INT’s. His career passer rating is 74.2; he hasn’t come anywhere close to a Super Bowl.
  • 2011: 1st overall Cam Newton. In 30 career starts, he has completed 556 of 940 passes (59.1%) for 7,502 yards, 39 TD’s and 27 interceptions. Newton’s career passer rating is 86.5; he has regressed in his 2nd season.

Let me see if I got this straight. Out of all these quarterbacks that were taken with top 5 picks in the NFL draft (many of them 1st) since Romo entered the league, only 1 of them has won a Super Bowl? Hmmm, gosh if that’s the case:

Why is everyone criticizing the only undrafted guy on the list?

Granted, the last few guys haven’t had much time to win a Super Bowl, but this does prove that drafting a top 5 QB will not instantly guarantee you a Super Bowl as many ignorant fans tend to think.

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Tags: Andrew Luck Dallas Cowboys Indianapolis Colts Tony Romo

  • http://www.facebook.com/russ.dye.75 Russ Dye

    Dont forget you are comparing a veteran QB (Romo) to a rookie (Luck). Really, the only way to make Romo look good is to compare his stats to a rookie QB? Colts are all but in the playoffs, ‘boys are outside looking in. If you are going to say that Luck has more turnovers than touchdowns at least check the stats. You are wrong. If you are going to combine fumbles (5) and interceptions (18) then you should probably combine rushing touchdowns (5) passing (20). 23 turnovers to 25 touchdowns, not impressive, just pointing out how you manipulate the data. It is obvious that you are not watching the colts play and writing articles based on box data. Luck is a pass first QB that can run as well hence 223 rushing yards for 5 TD’s. Poor poor Romo and ‘boys can’t get the respect that a team with a rookie GM, Coach, QB, and 32 new players can. Winning games gets players respect,

    • http://yourdailycowboysfootballfix.com/author/cowgirlcas/ Cowgirlcas22

      your missing the point. I compared him to every top QB since 2003. Not just luck. He was the most recent 1st overall pick. However, he is the one everyone was screaming to trade up and get. The point being made is just drafting a QB won’t get you to a super bowl. Look at the Colts strength of schedule lol it was weak. They had the 1st overall pick for a reason. I was comparing my 2012 selection for QB to Luck. I appreciate your input, but I watch everyone.I did overlook the rushing TD’s, thank you for pointing that out. Luck is not what I would call a scrambling QB. For the record, how else can you show why it would have been foolish to dump a top 5 franchise QB for a rook like Luck without a comparison? Did you completely miss that it was the same comparison to 10 QB’s? Gosh I hope you aren’t considering Eli a rook too. “RESPECT” You went there lol? The Cowboys are the 2nd largest franchise in the world and have the largest fan base in the country. They could go 0-16 and would still have more respect and fans than the Colts.

  • http://www.facebook.com/Unpetitpeudemona Vincent Levesque

    Hmmm… Don’t know where to start here. If your point is to prove that cowboys fans should stop complain about Romo, I get you. Now, KELLEN FREGGIN MOORE???? Are you serious? I had to read it twice to make sure you were not joking. Stop lying, you never watched a Colts game this season if you think he’s an ineffective passer. The guy is operating behind one of the worst Offensive line in the league and have no running game whatsoever to take pressure off of him.

    Colts also have the most vertical attack in the NFL and you don’t need to be the sharpest tool in the shed to know that the longer the ball is in the air the lower the completion percentage will be.

    I have to go back to Kellen Moore for a second here. Go look at tim Tebow’s college stats. Pretty good huh? College and NFL are 2 different games and skills don’t relate. Luck was picked 1st overall because scouts took into consideration that he was already running a pro style offense at Stanford.

    Have you ever heard of intangibles? How many 4th quarter comeback did Romo get in his first season? Luck has SIX so far and there’s 2 game left. The guy will be a stud. Last thing I want you to explain, what do you mean by ”lucked in”? Getting to 2-14 team with no offensive line, the worst secondary in football, rookie coach, 33 new players and 5 other rookies starting, plus 43 millions of dead cap space, I guess you’re right, he landed in the IDEAL situation to succeed.

    Again, if your whole point is that the Cowboys’ problems are far beyond quaterback and it would’ve been stupid to give everthing but the kitcen sink to get Luck I agree with you, that would’ve set your franchise back 5 years, I just think you took the wrong road to prove it.

    • http://yourdailycowboysfootballfix.com/author/cowgirlcas/ Cowgirlcas22

      Thank You for your input, talk to me in a few yrs. T-Bone wasn’t even in the same league as Moore and BTW Boise runs probably the most complex offense in college. Every yr they said the same things about that top rated QB. How has that worked out so far? If I am proved wrong in a few yrs I will be the first to admit it, but keep in mind, I very rarely am. Indy started building that OL to protect P. Manning. Dal OL consists of street FA’s undrafted guys and 1 1st rd pick who was also over rated in the draft.

      Dal runs the Air Coryell offense which is also mostly deep vertical routes.Romo went to the Pro Bowl even though Parcells threw him to the wolves right off the bench when he sat Bledsoe. He had zero reps with the 1st team prior to that and was the only QB in NFL history with only 10 starts to go to the Pro Bowl. At the end of the day Moore is 50-3 as a starter and 6-0 against the BCS schools, with 3 championships under his belt. Winningest QB in NCAA history. Luck didn’t know what pressure was at Stanford behind that OL he had, he only took 6 sacks on the season. Once again TY for expressing your opinion, I always like a good debate.

    • C. Joseph Wright

      I haven’t seen Luck play a full game, so I am staying out of that one, but the disagreement about the offensive lines is interesting to me because it is hard to imagine anyone having a worse OL than Dallas this season. Romo has faced an absolutely ridiculous amount of pressure this season, so it is hard to believe there is a unit worse than them at protecting their QB.

  • californy

    Nice Article Cowgirlcas, I be honest I never been a fan of the first rd QB, very few have ever developed into SB QB. I also never been a fan of drafting a WR or RB in the first RD either their a dime a dozen. Some of the better WR in NFL were not even drafted at all, at Welker and Miles Austin, you can add Houston RB into that mixed. I dont know where Sproles was drafted at but my guess it wasn’t the first rd either. The top of the first rd is never a spot I would like to draft from. If you draft here it saying you are not that good of a team.
    The Cowboys greatest need is at OL , but I doubt JJ will do it twice in 3 years. JJ is all about selling some uniforms and making a dollar then fielding a good team. If you look at the NFL draft of this year the team that did better didnt draft in the top 10 of the draft either. You have a team like the Tampa bay Buck who had a great RB at the end of the first rd, they also had a great LB in LaVonte David go after the first rd, they also had undrafted player in CB in Leonard Johnson, he was one of the leading rookies in interception earlier this year. Then look at Seattle draft They got Russel Wilson with 21 td to 9 interception for 95.5 rating, then factor in 2rd Pick Bobby Wagner who leads the team with 121 tackles and is one of the leader in the NFL in tackles. They also have their back of the future in Robert Turbin with 321 yards. The last two team I didn’t even mention their top pick in this year draft. They did get some good player but the later pick out shine the number 1 draft picks. Then you have a team like NE who made a living at drafting at the back of the draft, the rookies may not have great number but it really hard to crack this team line up with all the depth they have, Dont’a Hightower, Chandler Jones, Tavon Wilson, Alfanso Dennard have all made a nice inpact on this team already. In fact I believe when it is all said and done 7th rd Draft Pick Alfanso Dennard will have a better rookies Season than Claiborne despite playing in less than 6 games less than Claiborn also.
    By the Way Indianapolis found a gem in undrafted LB Jerrel Freemon who lead the colts with 125 tackles, he is currently 5th in tackles. This is not bad for a player who went undrafted too.

    • boysteamusa

      everybody seems to be finding gems in the late rds or UFAs. Gotta wonder what these scouts really know

      • californy

        I have read articles saying how good our Scouting department has been down the stretch this year at finding talent. I guess these fans must of turn the blind eye to the 2009 draft and 2008 draft. After this year we may be only left with Scandrick after these two draft years. Our only two starter out this draft class is Marty Bennet and Walden and they start for another team. Felix and Jenkins have become too huge dissapointment for this franchise so much for two first rd draft bust.

  • californy

    I guess there are people who just dont get it what they are reading here. I have follow Kellen Moore and I saw everyhthing he can do on the field. The biggest crtics are those who point fingers to his size,weight and arm, regardles of his size here are Moore College stats Moore threw for 14,667 yards, 142 touchdowns and just 28 interceptions during his four-year career with the Broncos. Pretty impressive, right. He also has a 50-3 college record as a starting QB.
    Lets look at some of the number people are judging Kellen Moore by 6-1 191 lbs as a QB. Lets look at some other player with similar number and concerns Russel Wilson 5-11 206, Wes Welker & Steve Smith WR 5-9 185 lbs, Drew Pearson 6-0 185, Drew Brees 6-0 209, Danny White 6-2 193 lbs and Rodger Starbach 6-3 197lbs..
    I believe Kellen Moore just need an opportunity to show what he has. Time will tell if he ever developes into a NFL QB, but I believe he has the skill level and talent to be a very good NFL QB.

    • boysteamusa

      Id really like to see this guy Kellen Moore in a Cowboy’s uniform

      • http://yourdailycowboysfootballfix.com/author/cowgirlcas/ Cowgirlcas22

        I mocked him for the Cowboys, but JJ took a pass. No way Detroit lets him go. Their OC already said he is the smartest QB he ever worked with. I wonder how that made Stafford feel?

  • [email protected]

    Romo IS the reason my Cowboys have won many games. Everyone out there who believe otherwise is simply a Romo hater.

  • boysteamusa

    Cas, you need to saddle up because these next 3 seasons with Romo is gonna be an impressive one…..better things to come indeed! Nearly everything is in place and we see whats lacking.

    • boysteamusa

      its good that so many have found so many faults with Romo because I expect his best days ahead and so many are on record who came out against him. Let the chips fall where they may. I see Dallas coming of age for a few seasons to come.

  • http://www.facebook.com/simon.boone.56 Simon Boone

    The premise of your argument (Romo is not a 1st rounder, therefore give him a break), simultaneously defends and decapitates him. He has close to 10 years of NFL experience, with almost zero playoff appearances, and zero rings. This while leading teams bursting at the seams with Pro Bowlers; it is true that Romo is a “walkon”, replacing the likes of Drew Bledsoe. Parcells, as has been alluded to earlier, left Romo with a well stocked team.Conversely,Luck and Bradford have walked into situations where team rosters are replete with NFL castoffs.Yet they have both managed to win as many games in a single season as Romo, with similar, or better statistics. Luck’s team is knocking on the playoff door. Therefore, one wonders if Romo is, in the popular vernacular, a complete “bust” ?

    • http://yourdailycowboysfootballfix.com/author/cowgirlcas/ Cowgirlcas22

      Nowhere did I say Tony needs a break. Just showed he was better than all the top picks since he has been in the league. The one thing I will say, is Wade came in and destroyed the house that Bill started to build. Losing Sean Payton as an offensive coach stung a lot too. JG will never compare to Payton as an offensive mind. Fact is, JJ can’t keep good coaches he wants a yes man. Had Bill stayed things would have been a lot different. If Tony resigns in Dallas he will be the next Dan Marino. Miles of stats and no rings. If he had the supporting cast like Aikman or Staubach did, he would have several rings. Even as a Dal fan I have to say that if Tony wants a ring before he retires, he has better odds on another team. His contract runs out at the end of the 2013 season. But hey, who knows they have been on a roll winning 5 out of the last 6 and have a legit shot at taking the division. They may just sneak in like the NYG did last yr when they got momentum late in the season. However, I wont hold my breath lol.

  • WW

    You’ve certainly overlooked at least one top-5 QB drafted since 2003; namely Robert Griffin III. In spite of talking at length about Andrew Luck, the first player chosen in the 2012 draft, you failed to mention the player taken immediately after him (RG3).

    This is ironic since the April 2012 article that you referenced opens this way:

    “It’s the off season, so as usual, all of the crazy draft, free agency,
    and trade scenarios are floating around. I have to say, some of them are
    quite comical to say the least. Especially the previous talk of trading
    up to get an unproven quarterback like RGIII.”

    Clearly, you know who RG3 is.

    At the time you wrote this article in early December, you must have been aware that he had beaten Romo in Dallas in a game where the “unproven quarterback” threw 4 TD passes.

    Now you would also be aware that Griffin III led the Redskins to the NFC East Championship by beating the Cowboys in Week 17. Romo threw 3 actual interceptions in that game, but the Skins defense dropped two others — one where the ball hit London Fletcher between the numbers on his jersey — or the total would have been 5 INTs.

    You put up a lot of statistics. Here’s one that you didn’t mention that seems more significant to me that all the rest: nine seasons – one playoff victory for Tony Romo.

    This year there are at least three QBs drafted in the first round who will be starting for their teams in the playoffs (Luck, Griffin III, Wilson) while Romo is at home watching ESPN. Since Griffin III and Wilson play each other in the opening round, at least one of them is guaranteed a playoff victory this year, in his first season, equaling Romo’s 9-season output. Now that’s a statistic that’s meaningful!

    The Colts, Seahawks & Redskins go to the playoffs with first-round unproven QB talent while Cowboy fans suffer another season of disappointment. It seems like it’s time to revisit your thesis.