Did Andrew “LUCK” In To A Good Situation? Thoughts for Dallas Cowboys Fans.

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Aug 30, 2012; Detroit, MI, USA; Detroit Lions quarterback Kellen Moore (17) looks to pass while being pressured by Buffalo Bills defensive end Kyle Moore (54) during the fourth quarter of a preseason game at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: Tim Fuller-USA TODAY Sports

In that same article, I did a comparison between who I thought was the best quarterback in the 2012 draft and Andrew Luck. My choice, Kellen Moore, went undrafted and Andrew Luck was the 1st overall selection. Do you see the similarity here? Much like Aaron Rogers, Tom Brady, Tony Romo etc, Moore was acquired by a team with a veteran QB already in place. This means it may be a while before he gets his shot. Of course, if the Lions don’t start winning some games,  Moore’s chance may come sooner rather than later.

Let’s take a look at Kellen Moore’s college stats:

G Att Comp Pct. Yards Yards/Att TD Int Rating Att/G Yards/G
50 1659 1157 69.8 14683 8.85 142 28 169.14 29.5 293.66

Now, let’s take a look at Andrew Luck’s:

G Att Comp Pct. Yards Yards/Att TD Int Rating Att/G Yards/G
38 1064 713 66.1 9424 8.88 82 22 161.06 28.0 248.0

Taking all of this in to consideration I have to ask: why is Luck who has less experience (3 yrear starter to 4 year starter), a lower career passer rating, (169.14 – 161.27), lower completion percentage (69.78 – 66.1), higher INT percentage (142 TD’s and 28 picks to 82 TD’s and22 picks), less wins (50-31), and only 1 championship win as the starter in 2 appearances compared to 3 wins in 4 appearances, projected 1st over all when the guy who is clearly the better quarterback in all categories was projected to be selected in 5th to 6th round? The only thing I can see is the knock on his size, or maybe the media just doesn’t like him much. Kellen Moore has all the traits you want in an NFL QB, so I’ll tell ya what:

“They can have their 1st overall pick, I’ll take my next Tom Brady or a Tony Romo in a later round.”

Dec 16, 2012; Houston, TX, USA; Indianapolis Colts quarterback Andrew Luck (12) passes against the Houston Texans during the third quarter at Reliant Stadium. The Texans won 29-17. Mandatory Credit: Thomas Campbell-USA TODAY Sports

What I find amusing is the fans who believe that all of the Indianapolis Colts recent success is a result of drafting a 1st round QB. I guess having the 1st overall pick or  the hiring of a new general manager who cleaned house, made a bunch of cuts, and then negotiated important free agency transactions had nothing to do with it?

Ok, I have a few questions for you. Would you rather have a QB who is mobile and has the ability to extend plays, or a pocket passer (Luck) who is immediately rendered ineffective when put under pressure by an effective pass-rush?  Would you rather have a QB with a rocket arm (Luck) that can throw the ball a mile, or a QB who is extremely accurate? Would you rather have a QB who has the prototypical size (Luck) or a QB with a low interception percentage? Did you choose Luck or the other option?  As I predicted prior to the draft,  Andrew Luck was the wrong choice. I still believe Moore will be the better QB.

Lets take a look at how Luck has done so far:

2012: 1st overall Andrew Luck. In 14 starts, he has completed 308 of 564 passes (54.6%), for 3,978 yards, 20 touchdowns, and 18 interceptions (leads the NFL); he has also coughed up 5 fumbles.  Luck’s passer rating is 75.5. Yes sports fans, Andrew Luck has more turnovers than passing touchdowns and one of the lowest completion percentages in the NFL! Is that the reason the Colts are winning? Is this what you would expect from the 1st overall pick in the draft?

2003: Undrafted Tony Romo. In 90 career starts, he has completed 2,051 of 3,160 passes (64.9%) for 25,103 yards, 171 touchdowns and only 88 interceptions. Romo has a career passer rating of 95.7;  his passer rating for the 2012 season is 90.2 (which will be higher by the end of the year). As you can see, Tony Romo has about twice as many touchdowns as interceptions.

In comparison to other Dallas Cowboys QB’s, Romo currently has the highest QB rating, lowest interception percentage, highest completion percentage, most touchdown passes, the most 4th quarter comebacks, and is the only QB in franchise history to throw for over 4,000 yards in a single season (he has done it 4 times). Whether you like it, or want to admit it, Tony Romo is hands down the best QB in the history of the Dallas Cowboys.

Dec 9, 2012; Cincinnati, USA; Dallas Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo (9) escapes Cincinnati Bengals defensive tackle Geno Atkins (97) during the second half at Paul Brown Stadium. The Cowboys won 20-19. Mandatory Credit: David Kohl-USA Today Sports

What I can’t seem to figure out is why every time I turn on the TV all the talking heads in the media carry on as if Andrew Luck is already an elite QB, yet they continue to cut up Tony Romo. Do these guys watch the games? Luck is far from mobile: his 37 sacks illustrate his inability to evade pass-rushers because he has a better offensive line than Tony Romo’s current line with the Dallas Cowboys.

Andrew Luck isn’t an efficient passer. He has passer rating of 75.5, Tony Romo has a career rating of 95.7 and a rating of 90.2 in 2012. Luck isn’t a very accurate QB. His completion percentage is 54.6;  Romo has completed  64.9  per cent of his passing attempts in his career, and he has a completion percentage of 66.7 in 2012. The question now becomes:

Why does the media act like Andrew Luck is a super star and continue to bash Tony Romo?

The bottom line is: the media attacks Dallas Cowboys Tony Romo because he is better than the “sure fire’ quarterbacks drafted in the 1st round. (Remember? They all said Romo wouldn’t make it).

How would it look if they took shots at their own poster boys?

Exactly. So, the medias’ so called experts need a scapegoat to keep the focus off of their shortcomings (and mistakes) in prognosticating which college QB’s will be able to succeed in the NFL. My point is: after looking at all of the top ranked college quarterbacks who were drafted in the 1st round and how they have performed in the NFL, Dallas Cowboys fans were stupid to want to give up Tony Romo and sacrifice the teams future draft picks to trade up and get Andrew Luck. (You know who you are!) How could that have made any sense?

My next question is: how much are NFL teams paying all of these experts who grade college prospects? Why do I ask that? I’ll tell you why: the current top 3 quarterbacks in the entire NFL are Drew Brees (2nd round pick), Tom Brady (6th round pick), and Tony Romo (undrafted).  Maybe some of these NFL owners need to reconsider who is in charge of their 1st round draft pick because this neophyte from Florida has done a better job at evaluating quarterbacks than their highly paid experts.

To the fans who still think that the Colts improved so much by simply adding a 1st round QB, I have only one thing to say:

Andrew “Lucked” In To A Good Situation!

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Tags: Andrew Luck Dallas Cowboys Indianapolis Colts Tony Romo

  • http://www.facebook.com/russ.dye.75 Russ Dye

    Dont forget you are comparing a veteran QB (Romo) to a rookie (Luck). Really, the only way to make Romo look good is to compare his stats to a rookie QB? Colts are all but in the playoffs, ‘boys are outside looking in. If you are going to say that Luck has more turnovers than touchdowns at least check the stats. You are wrong. If you are going to combine fumbles (5) and interceptions (18) then you should probably combine rushing touchdowns (5) passing (20). 23 turnovers to 25 touchdowns, not impressive, just pointing out how you manipulate the data. It is obvious that you are not watching the colts play and writing articles based on box data. Luck is a pass first QB that can run as well hence 223 rushing yards for 5 TD’s. Poor poor Romo and ‘boys can’t get the respect that a team with a rookie GM, Coach, QB, and 32 new players can. Winning games gets players respect,

    • http://yourdailycowboysfootballfix.com/author/cowgirlcas/ Cowgirlcas22

      your missing the point. I compared him to every top QB since 2003. Not just luck. He was the most recent 1st overall pick. However, he is the one everyone was screaming to trade up and get. The point being made is just drafting a QB won’t get you to a super bowl. Look at the Colts strength of schedule lol it was weak. They had the 1st overall pick for a reason. I was comparing my 2012 selection for QB to Luck. I appreciate your input, but I watch everyone.I did overlook the rushing TD’s, thank you for pointing that out. Luck is not what I would call a scrambling QB. For the record, how else can you show why it would have been foolish to dump a top 5 franchise QB for a rook like Luck without a comparison? Did you completely miss that it was the same comparison to 10 QB’s? Gosh I hope you aren’t considering Eli a rook too. “RESPECT” You went there lol? The Cowboys are the 2nd largest franchise in the world and have the largest fan base in the country. They could go 0-16 and would still have more respect and fans than the Colts.

  • http://www.facebook.com/Unpetitpeudemona Vincent Levesque

    Hmmm… Don’t know where to start here. If your point is to prove that cowboys fans should stop complain about Romo, I get you. Now, KELLEN FREGGIN MOORE???? Are you serious? I had to read it twice to make sure you were not joking. Stop lying, you never watched a Colts game this season if you think he’s an ineffective passer. The guy is operating behind one of the worst Offensive line in the league and have no running game whatsoever to take pressure off of him.

    Colts also have the most vertical attack in the NFL and you don’t need to be the sharpest tool in the shed to know that the longer the ball is in the air the lower the completion percentage will be.

    I have to go back to Kellen Moore for a second here. Go look at tim Tebow’s college stats. Pretty good huh? College and NFL are 2 different games and skills don’t relate. Luck was picked 1st overall because scouts took into consideration that he was already running a pro style offense at Stanford.

    Have you ever heard of intangibles? How many 4th quarter comeback did Romo get in his first season? Luck has SIX so far and there’s 2 game left. The guy will be a stud. Last thing I want you to explain, what do you mean by ”lucked in”? Getting to 2-14 team with no offensive line, the worst secondary in football, rookie coach, 33 new players and 5 other rookies starting, plus 43 millions of dead cap space, I guess you’re right, he landed in the IDEAL situation to succeed.

    Again, if your whole point is that the Cowboys’ problems are far beyond quaterback and it would’ve been stupid to give everthing but the kitcen sink to get Luck I agree with you, that would’ve set your franchise back 5 years, I just think you took the wrong road to prove it.

    • http://yourdailycowboysfootballfix.com/author/cowgirlcas/ Cowgirlcas22

      Thank You for your input, talk to me in a few yrs. T-Bone wasn’t even in the same league as Moore and BTW Boise runs probably the most complex offense in college. Every yr they said the same things about that top rated QB. How has that worked out so far? If I am proved wrong in a few yrs I will be the first to admit it, but keep in mind, I very rarely am. Indy started building that OL to protect P. Manning. Dal OL consists of street FA’s undrafted guys and 1 1st rd pick who was also over rated in the draft.

      Dal runs the Air Coryell offense which is also mostly deep vertical routes.Romo went to the Pro Bowl even though Parcells threw him to the wolves right off the bench when he sat Bledsoe. He had zero reps with the 1st team prior to that and was the only QB in NFL history with only 10 starts to go to the Pro Bowl. At the end of the day Moore is 50-3 as a starter and 6-0 against the BCS schools, with 3 championships under his belt. Winningest QB in NCAA history. Luck didn’t know what pressure was at Stanford behind that OL he had, he only took 6 sacks on the season. Once again TY for expressing your opinion, I always like a good debate.

    • C. Joseph Wright

      I haven’t seen Luck play a full game, so I am staying out of that one, but the disagreement about the offensive lines is interesting to me because it is hard to imagine anyone having a worse OL than Dallas this season. Romo has faced an absolutely ridiculous amount of pressure this season, so it is hard to believe there is a unit worse than them at protecting their QB.

  • californy

    Nice Article Cowgirlcas, I be honest I never been a fan of the first rd QB, very few have ever developed into SB QB. I also never been a fan of drafting a WR or RB in the first RD either their a dime a dozen. Some of the better WR in NFL were not even drafted at all, at Welker and Miles Austin, you can add Houston RB into that mixed. I dont know where Sproles was drafted at but my guess it wasn’t the first rd either. The top of the first rd is never a spot I would like to draft from. If you draft here it saying you are not that good of a team.
    The Cowboys greatest need is at OL , but I doubt JJ will do it twice in 3 years. JJ is all about selling some uniforms and making a dollar then fielding a good team. If you look at the NFL draft of this year the team that did better didnt draft in the top 10 of the draft either. You have a team like the Tampa bay Buck who had a great RB at the end of the first rd, they also had a great LB in LaVonte David go after the first rd, they also had undrafted player in CB in Leonard Johnson, he was one of the leading rookies in interception earlier this year. Then look at Seattle draft They got Russel Wilson with 21 td to 9 interception for 95.5 rating, then factor in 2rd Pick Bobby Wagner who leads the team with 121 tackles and is one of the leader in the NFL in tackles. They also have their back of the future in Robert Turbin with 321 yards. The last two team I didn’t even mention their top pick in this year draft. They did get some good player but the later pick out shine the number 1 draft picks. Then you have a team like NE who made a living at drafting at the back of the draft, the rookies may not have great number but it really hard to crack this team line up with all the depth they have, Dont’a Hightower, Chandler Jones, Tavon Wilson, Alfanso Dennard have all made a nice inpact on this team already. In fact I believe when it is all said and done 7th rd Draft Pick Alfanso Dennard will have a better rookies Season than Claiborne despite playing in less than 6 games less than Claiborn also.
    By the Way Indianapolis found a gem in undrafted LB Jerrel Freemon who lead the colts with 125 tackles, he is currently 5th in tackles. This is not bad for a player who went undrafted too.

    • boysteamusa

      everybody seems to be finding gems in the late rds or UFAs. Gotta wonder what these scouts really know

      • californy

        I have read articles saying how good our Scouting department has been down the stretch this year at finding talent. I guess these fans must of turn the blind eye to the 2009 draft and 2008 draft. After this year we may be only left with Scandrick after these two draft years. Our only two starter out this draft class is Marty Bennet and Walden and they start for another team. Felix and Jenkins have become too huge dissapointment for this franchise so much for two first rd draft bust.

  • californy

    I guess there are people who just dont get it what they are reading here. I have follow Kellen Moore and I saw everyhthing he can do on the field. The biggest crtics are those who point fingers to his size,weight and arm, regardles of his size here are Moore College stats Moore threw for 14,667 yards, 142 touchdowns and just 28 interceptions during his four-year career with the Broncos. Pretty impressive, right. He also has a 50-3 college record as a starting QB.
    Lets look at some of the number people are judging Kellen Moore by 6-1 191 lbs as a QB. Lets look at some other player with similar number and concerns Russel Wilson 5-11 206, Wes Welker & Steve Smith WR 5-9 185 lbs, Drew Pearson 6-0 185, Drew Brees 6-0 209, Danny White 6-2 193 lbs and Rodger Starbach 6-3 197lbs..
    I believe Kellen Moore just need an opportunity to show what he has. Time will tell if he ever developes into a NFL QB, but I believe he has the skill level and talent to be a very good NFL QB.

    • boysteamusa

      Id really like to see this guy Kellen Moore in a Cowboy’s uniform

      • http://yourdailycowboysfootballfix.com/author/cowgirlcas/ Cowgirlcas22

        I mocked him for the Cowboys, but JJ took a pass. No way Detroit lets him go. Their OC already said he is the smartest QB he ever worked with. I wonder how that made Stafford feel?

  • [email protected]

    Romo IS the reason my Cowboys have won many games. Everyone out there who believe otherwise is simply a Romo hater.

  • boysteamusa

    Cas, you need to saddle up because these next 3 seasons with Romo is gonna be an impressive one…..better things to come indeed! Nearly everything is in place and we see whats lacking.

    • boysteamusa

      its good that so many have found so many faults with Romo because I expect his best days ahead and so many are on record who came out against him. Let the chips fall where they may. I see Dallas coming of age for a few seasons to come.

  • http://www.facebook.com/simon.boone.56 Simon Boone

    The premise of your argument (Romo is not a 1st rounder, therefore give him a break), simultaneously defends and decapitates him. He has close to 10 years of NFL experience, with almost zero playoff appearances, and zero rings. This while leading teams bursting at the seams with Pro Bowlers; it is true that Romo is a “walkon”, replacing the likes of Drew Bledsoe. Parcells, as has been alluded to earlier, left Romo with a well stocked team.Conversely,Luck and Bradford have walked into situations where team rosters are replete with NFL castoffs.Yet they have both managed to win as many games in a single season as Romo, with similar, or better statistics. Luck’s team is knocking on the playoff door. Therefore, one wonders if Romo is, in the popular vernacular, a complete “bust” ?

    • http://yourdailycowboysfootballfix.com/author/cowgirlcas/ Cowgirlcas22

      Nowhere did I say Tony needs a break. Just showed he was better than all the top picks since he has been in the league. The one thing I will say, is Wade came in and destroyed the house that Bill started to build. Losing Sean Payton as an offensive coach stung a lot too. JG will never compare to Payton as an offensive mind. Fact is, JJ can’t keep good coaches he wants a yes man. Had Bill stayed things would have been a lot different. If Tony resigns in Dallas he will be the next Dan Marino. Miles of stats and no rings. If he had the supporting cast like Aikman or Staubach did, he would have several rings. Even as a Dal fan I have to say that if Tony wants a ring before he retires, he has better odds on another team. His contract runs out at the end of the 2013 season. But hey, who knows they have been on a roll winning 5 out of the last 6 and have a legit shot at taking the division. They may just sneak in like the NYG did last yr when they got momentum late in the season. However, I wont hold my breath lol.

  • WW

    You’ve certainly overlooked at least one top-5 QB drafted since 2003; namely Robert Griffin III. In spite of talking at length about Andrew Luck, the first player chosen in the 2012 draft, you failed to mention the player taken immediately after him (RG3).

    This is ironic since the April 2012 article that you referenced opens this way:

    “It’s the off season, so as usual, all of the crazy draft, free agency,
    and trade scenarios are floating around. I have to say, some of them are
    quite comical to say the least. Especially the previous talk of trading
    up to get an unproven quarterback like RGIII.”

    Clearly, you know who RG3 is.

    At the time you wrote this article in early December, you must have been aware that he had beaten Romo in Dallas in a game where the “unproven quarterback” threw 4 TD passes.

    Now you would also be aware that Griffin III led the Redskins to the NFC East Championship by beating the Cowboys in Week 17. Romo threw 3 actual interceptions in that game, but the Skins defense dropped two others — one where the ball hit London Fletcher between the numbers on his jersey — or the total would have been 5 INTs.

    You put up a lot of statistics. Here’s one that you didn’t mention that seems more significant to me that all the rest: nine seasons – one playoff victory for Tony Romo.

    This year there are at least three QBs drafted in the first round who will be starting for their teams in the playoffs (Luck, Griffin III, Wilson) while Romo is at home watching ESPN. Since Griffin III and Wilson play each other in the opening round, at least one of them is guaranteed a playoff victory this year, in his first season, equaling Romo’s 9-season output. Now that’s a statistic that’s meaningful!

    The Colts, Seahawks & Redskins go to the playoffs with first-round unproven QB talent while Cowboy fans suffer another season of disappointment. It seems like it’s time to revisit your thesis.