3. Road Warriors
In order to win this series, we're going to need to win at least one game down in Florida. Fortunately for us, Texas was a pretty good road team this year.
While their 40-41 away record may not show it, the Rangers dominated their opponents on the road more often than not. In fact, they posted a +65 run differential away from home.
Based on that, Texas should have had a .588 road winning percentage based on Pythagorean W-L. That would've translated to a 48-33 road record, indicating that the Rangers got pretty unlucky in their road games this year.
The Rays, on the other hand, got a bit lucky at home. They ended up with a 53-28 record at the Trop, but their +88 run differential says their home record should have been closer to 50-31. Still great, but not quite as good.
So while it may look like there's a big disparity between Texas on the road vs. Tampa Bay at home, that's really not the case. They're nearly even in that regard, making the two games at Tropicana Field a virtual toss-up.
We only need to win one of them to send the series back to Texas, but if we can win both and sweep, that will be even better.
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