2. The Orioles Haven't Been Special at Home
As the AL's top seed, the Orioles secured home-field advantage throughout the 2023 playoffs. While marching into Camden Yards might be daunting for some clubs, that shouldn't be the case for the Rangers.
Baltimore has been fairly average in its own backyard lately, going 6-6 in its last 12 home games. Even when the O's were picking up wins during that span, three of those victories came by two or fewer runs, further proving that they haven't been all that dominant.
On top of that, the Orioles' offense hasn't been clicking at Camden Yards, being held to two or fewer runs in four of their last six home outings. The Rangers had zero issues scoring on the road last series, dropping 11 runs on the Rays.
For reference, Tampa Bay had the ninth-best team ERA at home this season (3.80).
The Orioles +30.0 run differential at home (No. 11) further proves that they aren't elite at home. The Rangers, on the other hand, own the sixth-best differential on the road (plus-78.0).
With Bruce Bochy's team more than comfortable in the visiting role, the Rangers won't back down from the Camden Yards atmosphere.