Happy Max Scherzer Day, folks! Naturally, with Scherzer making his debut in Arlington we'll be looking at the Rangers game to find our favorite betting pick for the day.
That doesn't mean there's nothing else going on in the DFW sports world though, and we've got a total of three bets coming at you on Thursday. Let's get right to 'em.
Dallas Best Bets: August 3, 2023
Tyler Maher: Rangers Runline vs. White Sox
Our struggling offense finally got back on track last night, breaking out of its slump with a massive 11-1 win over the White Sox. Corey Seager’s return from the IL had something to do with that, too, as he went yard on his first swing of the game.
Today we have another easy matchup against Chicago, which has lost eight of its last 10. We go for the sweep behind Max Scherzer, who makes his Rangers debut after coming over from the Mets at the trade deadline.
Scherzer shouldn’t have too much trouble dominating a White Sox lineup that has managed just 1 run in the first two games of this series combined. Meanwhile, our offense should be able to score some runs against Touki Toussaint, who owns a 5.02 ERA and a 5.16 FIP for his career.
Texas is heavily favored in this game for a reason, so make sure to back the Rangers on the runline in what should be another easy win. They’ve covered in both games of this series so far and are 63-45 ATS this year, including 35-21 at home.
Jason Schandl: Astros Moneyline vs Guardians
It’s hard to pick the Houston Astros with Cristian Javier on the mound, but getting roughly coin-flip odds on this game means the best move is to plug your nose and back them.
The Yankees will be starting Clarke Schmidt, who’s really been no better than Javier in 2023. Schmidt has the slightly higher ERA (4.39 vs 4.33), and while his xERA has been better, the gap there is pretty small (4.28 vs. 4.49). The two sides have pretty similar-strength bullpens as well, so pitching is roughly a wash here.
That leaves us comparing offenses. Houston is much better positioned with the starters on the mound (101 wRC+ against right-handed pitching compared to 91 for the Yanks), and while that gap shrinks against southpaws, the Astros have the slight edge (112 to 108) there as well.
This one’s not lopsided, but Houston has the edge, making these even odds mighty attractive.
Isaiah De Los Santos: Dream-Mercury UNDER
The Wings are off after last night’s win, but there’s still WNBA action to cash in on. Thursday’s slate features Western Conference foe the Mercury taking on the Dream, and I think this will be a low-scoring affair.
Phoenix’s offense has been a disaster all season, ranking dead-last in the WNBA at just 76.0 PPG. Though the Dream own the second-best scoring offense, they’ve been quiet lately, averaging only 77.2 PPG over their last six six contests. The Mercury have experienced a recent drop-off as well, posting a dismal 73.7 PPG during this same stretch.
If that doesn’t convince you, just look at when these teams met last week. Phoenix and Atlanta combined for a meager 143 points during their July 25 matchup as their offenses continue to struggle.
Given this, I love targeting the under tonight.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.