3. The Giants and Commanders Aren't Ready
Yes, the Giants took a big step forward under Brian Daboll last year. Do I think they have another leap like that in them this year, though? Probably not.
New York has a good defense, but that offense is still pretty meh. Daniel Jones improved but is still basically a game manager, as he hasn't thrown more than 15 TD passes in a season since his rookie year. He doesn't really have any passing weapons to speak of, which continues to be an issue.
Saquon Barkley is back, but do we really think he can hold up for a full year after taking such a punishing workload last year? He's never had two healthy seasons back-to-back, so he needs to prove that he can.
As for the Commanders, they're just a whole lot of blah. Fourth place is where they belong, and fourth place is where they'll end up. Sam Howell would really have to set the league on fire for them to have a chance, and that seems pretty unlikely.
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